hosted on dreamhost now. still working out a few time-related kinks, but things seem to be mostly working. please let me know if you see anything that isn't as it should be.
this weekend's slate of nfl games look to be pretty sweet, i think. let's run through em chronlogical style- indy +4 at baltimore for two reasons: 1) i hate the ravens and 2) i like the colts and tend to back them in the face of obvious adversity. facing a decent running game and excellent defense on the road seems to fit that mold. but riddle me this: after last week's game, how is baltimore only favored by 4 points? saints -3.5 is a must pick at home, because this time has been riding that superdome emotions all year and i think its good for at least one more win. as much as i like the eagles, i don't think these guys are capable of beating a semi-functional defense, let alone outscoring that saints offense without lito. give me seattle and the points in chicago. rex grossman is a joke and i haven't heard that griese is officially starting yet (though i don't think that would change my mind). seattle got it together (somehow) at the end of last week, and i think they carry that into chicago. finally, san diego -6.5 in a romp for a bevy of reasons: 1) tomlinson, 2) san diego's defense, 3) i hate that (smug!!!) tom fucking brady as much as i like peyton manning, 4) i can't pick more road teams than home teams in the playoffs.
if i had any sense, of course, i'd take all 4 home teams. remember, 4-0 moneyline, 2-2 ATS.
live from los angeles
1537-january10-2007
comments
re: hmm
from: niv (2007-01-12 19:06:49)
you are actually getting ripped off, apparently. but i, for consistency, am using the opening lines from the LVSC - from here. but now the chargers are down to -4.5 and the saints are anywhere from -4.5 to -6.0. i used the opening lines last week so i'm just being consistent.
re: well
from: thad (2007-01-13 13:04:51)
i would be getting ripped off for the pats bet, but the eagles bet is favorable to me. frankly i'm surprised there's so much difference, usually the largest difference is like 0.5 a point.
re: you are forgetting
from: niv (2007-01-13 15:49:06)
that it moves over the course of the week, based on the direction people are betting.
re: well well
from: thad (2007-01-14 01:32:33)
right, but it's not like your lines are from monday and mine from friday or something, san diego opened at -5 on pinnacle.

re: where did you get your lines?
i see both the saints/eagles and pats/chargers games as +/- 5 spreads.